Latin America in the context of Chinese economic growth: the problem of the super elasticity of imports

Authors

  • Damián Paikin Universidad de Buenos Aires
  • Maximiliano Albornoz Universidad de Buenos Aires

Abstract

The China's demand for primary products reopened a debate in Latin America on the valuation of this trade relationship. On the one hand, some analysts see it as a great opportunity to place Latin American products. On the other hand, others have remarked the deindustrialization of exports and the growing the commodities in the basket. In this context, the work intends to contribute a further element to the debate, based on a quantitative analysis through the estimation of the bilateral elasticities of trade between China and three countries of the region, Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay for the period 1997-2019.

This view allows us to understand to what extent this trade favors (or not) the growth of the countries based on an analysis of the impact of the partner's import basket in the face of an increase in national income.

Keywords:

Elasticities, Latin America, Development, China, International Trade

Author Biographies

Damián Paikin, Universidad de Buenos Aires

PhD in Social Sciences and Master in Regional Integration Processes from the University of Buenos Aires. Director of the Centro de Estudios en Ciudadanía, Estado y Asuntos Políticos (CEAP) of said university and researcher-teacher at the Universidad Nacional de Lanús, Argentina. dpaikin@yahoo.com

Maximiliano Albornoz, Universidad de Buenos Aires

Master in Economics from Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Professor and Researcher at Universidad de Buenos Aires, Universidad Nacional de Lomas de Zamora and Universidad Argentina de la Empresa (UADE), Argentina. malbornoz@economicas.unlz.edu.ar

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